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PRESS RELEASE
For Immediate Release
The Travel Business Roundtable/World Travel And Tourism
Council (TBR/WTTC) Index Of Leading Economic Indicators Advanced
Modestly In June
The Travel and Tourism Industry Outperformed the Overall
US Economy
WASHINGTON, D.C. - August 15, 2002 - While the June
increase in the TBR/WTTC Index of Leading Economic Indicators
for the travel and tourism industry appears to be somewhat
modest, there is also evidence that suggests that the fundamentals
underlying this increase were much stronger than the actual
increase itself.
Reviewing the performance of the individual indicators that
make up the index shows that there was a decline in only one
sector 3Ñ4 consumer confidence. In recent months, changes
in this indicator have been quite irregular, reflecting the
consumers reaction to changing domestic and international
affairs and the volatility in the equity market. If the effects
of the decline in confidence were removed from the Index,
the June increase would have been nearly 1.0 percent.
According to Dr. James Howell, economist and president of
the Boston-based Howell Group, there is an expectation that
as the economys growth rate stabilizes around the 2.5
percent range, the relatively sharp month-to-month swings
in consumer confidence will flatten out.
The brief table below shows the relevant rates of change
in the TBR/WTTC and U.S. Indexes of Leading Economic Indicators.
| Rates of Change in the TBR/WTTC
and U.S. Indexes of Leading Economic Indicators |
| Percent Changes Over: |
| Index / |
Past Month / |
Past 12 Months |
| TBR/WTTC / |
+0.4% / |
-3.6% |
| U.S. / |
0.0 / |
+3.1 |
With specific regard to the June TBR/WTTC Index, four of
the nine individual indicators were up, four unchanged, and
one, consumer confidence, declined.
Increases took place in the following indicators:
 |
ARC sales |
 |
Retail sales at eating and drinking establishments |
 |
Hotel/motel occupancy rates |
 |
Hotel/motel revenue |
The following sectors were unchanged from the previous month:
 |
ATA Revenue Passenger Miles |
 |
Personal consumption expenditures for travel and related
items |
 |
Rental car revenue |
 |
Travel and tourism employment |
# # #
The World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) is the
global business leaders' forum for Travel & Tourism in
January 2002. Its members are chief executives from all sectors
of industry, including accommodation, catering, entertainment,
recreation, transportation and other travel-related services.
Founded in April 1990, WTTC policies are set and implemented
by a Member Executive Committee, a President and a small staff
in London, with representative offices in North & South
America, Asia/Pacific and Europe.
The Travel Business Roundtable is a CEO-based organization
representing all sectors of the travel and tourism industry.
In addition to the major airlines, car rental companies, travel
management agencies, hotel chains, TBRs membership roster
also includes companies such as The Coca-Cola Company, USA
Today, the Taubman Company, and the International Council
of Shopping Centers, demonstrating the broad scope and diversity
the industry represents. In 2000, travel and tourism was the
nations third largest retail industry and second largest
employer with more than 18 million Americans employed directly
or indirectly in travel and tourism.
CONTACT:
Debra Kelman
212-794-DKPR (3577)
dkelman@dkpr.com
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